The natural selection of bad science

This paper lays out the argument that flawed research design, methods and analysis (all be it unintentional) will yield results in greater volume and that are more novel and surprising; and thus, also greater rate of publishing. As publishing is a key factor in...

Selection bias and the use of success stories

While it is obvious when stated, it is still a sad fact that the popular business press continues to write hero stories and generalize from business successes. This article from HBR is a quick introduction to why this can lead one to draw the wrong conclusions....

Measurement error and the replication crisis

A common assumption has been that if one finds statistically significant results with noisy data, it means that the findings are conservative. (The intuition is that had there not been strong associations present, they would not have made it through the noise) In...

How statistics lost their power

Interesting historical perspective, and why statistics as a tool to form policy and public opinion may loose its effect in the time to come. some points: the nation is a misleading entity to use; while some cities flourish and grow, other regions are hit hard; an...

Style and how to write well..

Why the green great dragon can’t exist – BBC News The former US Defence Secretary, Donald Rumsfeld, famously warned that in any situation there can be known knowns and unknown unknowns, the latter being the most potentially dangerous as they are...